The Impact of Forecast Rate Reductions, the Spring Selling Season, and the New Australian Government First Home Guarantee Scheme

Spring-selling-season-interest-rate-push

Australia’s property market is heading into an exciting period, with three major forces shaping buyer behaviour and market activity: anticipated interest rate cuts, the traditional spring selling season, and the expanded First Home Guarantee Scheme. For mortgage brokers, real estate professionals, and first‑time buyers, understanding how these factors interact is key to making informed decisions.

1. Forecast Rate Reductions – A Boost for Borrowing Power

Economists are predicting that the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) may continue easing interest rates in the coming months. Even a modest reduction can significantly improve borrowing capacity, making home loans more affordable for buyers.
For example, a 0.25% cut on a $600,000 mortgage could save borrowers hundreds of dollars a month, freeing up cash flow and increasing confidence in entering the market.
For mortgage brokers, this is a prime opportunity to reconnect with clients who were previously priced out due to higher rates.

2. The Spring Selling Season – More Listings, More Competition

Spring has long been the busiest time in Australia’s property calendar. Warmer weather, longer days, and fresh marketing campaigns encourage more sellers to list their homes.
This seasonal surge in listings can create more choice for buyers, but it also means increased competition among sellers. For buyers, the combination of more stock and potentially lower interest rates could make spring 2025 one of the most active markets in recent years.

3. The First Home Guarantee Scheme – Helping Buyers Get In Sooner

The Australian Government’s First Home Guarantee Scheme allows eligible first‑time buyers to purchase a property with as little as a 5% deposit, without paying Lenders Mortgage Insurance (LMI).
The recent expansion of the scheme means more places are available, and eligibility criteria have been broadened to include more property types and locations.
For first‑time buyers, this could be the perfect storm: lower rates, more properties to choose from, and reduced upfront costs.

4. What This Means for the Market

When these three factors align, the result is a market with increased buyer demand, improved affordability, and heightened competition.
Mortgage brokers should be proactive in educating clients about their borrowing options, pre‑approval processes, and the benefits of acting before demand peaks.
For buyers, preparation is key—having finance pre‑approved and a clear understanding of the scheme’s eligibility requirements will help them move quickly when the right property appears.

5. Final Thoughts

The coming months could present one of the best windows in years for first‑time buyers and upgraders alike. With the right advice and preparation, buyers can take advantage of favourable conditions, while brokers can position themselves as trusted guides through a dynamic market.

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